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Nifty Surpasses 25,000: Market Experts Weigh in on the Index’s Future and Provide Trading Strategies
The Nifty has broken out of its 4-month range, closing above key swing levels and marking its third consecutive week of gains. However, analysts warn that the index now faces significant resistance at 25,500–25,670. Support at 25,000–25,200 remains strong, but near-term sentiment may be impacted by developments surrounding US visa costs. Market experts share their insights on the Nifty’s trajectory and offer trading strategies for the week ahead.
The Nifty’s recent surge has been nothing short of remarkable, with the index surpassing the psychological level of 25,000 and confirming a ‘Double Bottom’ formation on daily charts. According to Sameet Chavan, Head of Research – Technical & Derivatives at Angel One, certain technical indicators are providing encouraging signals, with a clear ‘Higher High, Higher Low’ formation and the RSI-smoothed oscillator trending northwards. Chavan remains optimistic, expecting the Nifty to soon challenge the important swing highs of 25,548 and 25,670. On the downside, 25,250 followed by 25,000 are expected to serve as strong support zones.
Nifty’s Technical Analysis and Trading Strategies
Market experts are cautioning against getting carried away with the current rally, advising traders to use declines to add long positions. Over the weekend, the US President made announcements regarding H-1B visas, which could dampen sentiment across the IT space. Sameet Chavan recommends buying Samman Capital on declines toward Rs 140 for a target of Rs 152, with a stop loss at Rs 133. Piramal Pharma, which confirmed a breakout on Friday after closing convincingly above the key resistance at 205, is also a recommended buy for a target of Rs 224, with a strict stop loss at Rs 196.
Analysts’ Insights on Nifty’s Future
Dhupesh Dhamija, Derivatives Research Analyst at Samco Securities, notes that the Nifty closed marginally below the previous day’s low, signaling ongoing profit-taking and the possibility of sideways consolidation. However, corrective dips are likely to attract fresh accumulation. Call writers have been more aggressive, with fresh open interest at 25,500 strike establishing this level as a strong resistance, while heavy put contracts at 25,200–25,100 reaffirm support. Somil Mehta, Head of Alternate Research at Mirae Asset Sharekhan, believes that after moving sideways for nearly four months, Nifty has finally broken out of the range, with the next hurdle to watch being 25,670, the previous swing high.
Some key highlights and trading strategies for the week ahead include:
* Using declines to add long positions, as advised by Sameet Chavan
* Buying Samman Capital on declines toward Rs 140 for a target of Rs 152, with a stop loss at Rs 133
* Buying Piramal Pharma for a target of Rs 224, with a strict stop loss at Rs 196
* Focusing on sector rotation, with banks and financials, insurance, pharma, and electronic & consumer durables showing resilience
* Accumulating quality large-cap stocks for stability, along with select mid-cap value stocks for growth
Some relevant quotes from market experts include:
* “The RSI-smoothed oscillator on the daily timeframe has crossed 70 and is trending northwards, which generally adds momentum to the rally.” – Sameet Chavan
* “Call writers have been more aggressive, with fresh open interest at 25,500 strike establishing this level as a strong resistance, while heavy put contracts at 25,200–25,100 reaffirm support.” – Dhupesh Dhamija
* “After moving sideways for nearly four months, Nifty has finally broken out of the range, with the next hurdle to watch being 25,670, the previous swing high.” – Somil Mehta
Some key data points to consider include:
* Nifty’s 4-month range: 24,500 – 25,000
* Support levels: 25,000 – 25,200
* Resistance levels: 25,500 – 25,670
* Previous swing highs: 25,548 and 25,670
Conclusion and Future Outlook
In conclusion, the Nifty’s recent breakout and surge above 25,000 has been a significant development, with market experts weighing in on the index’s future and providing trading strategies for the week ahead. While there are concerns about near-term sentiment and resistance levels, the overall outlook remains positive, with a medium-term target of 28,000 and beyond. As Somil Mehta notes, “From an Elliott Wave perspective, the recent correction (wave 4) is complete, and Nifty has started its next upward leg (wave 5).”
Keywords: Nifty, stock market, trading strategies, technical analysis, US visa costs, H-1B visas, IT space, Samman Capital, Piramal Pharma, sector rotation, large-cap stocks, mid-cap value stocks, Elliott Wave perspective.
Hashtags: #Nifty #StockMarket #TradingStrategies #TechnicalAnalysis #USVisaCosts #H1BVisas #ITSpace #SammanCapital #PiramalPharma #SectorRotation #LargeCapStocks #MidCapValueStocks #ElliottWavePerspective
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